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AUTHOR(S): Mohammad Awad Momani
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TITLE The Future Electricity Demand Profile in Jordan in the year 2030 |
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ABSTRACT This paper examines the electricity consumption pattern in Jordan during the period from 2007 to 2015 as a step for forecasting the daily electricity load curves (DLCs). The paper aims at (1) examining the alterations in system load profile of the country during recent past with emphasis on the seasonality of the annual and monthly loads, the day-to-day load pattern and the winter-to-summer variations and load duration curves (2) developing a technique to forecast the DLCs for a period extending to 2030. The forecast of the DLCs is based on the historical growth rates (GR%) of the actual hourly-loads in the period 2007 and 2014. Results show that the DLCs in Jordan is characterized by three periods: the minimum load prior to sunrise, daytime peak at around 13:00 and evening peak at around 18:00-20:00. The annual peak load during the period of study show dominant daytime peak occurrence. Prominent daytime peak was also observed in summer, particularly between 14:00 and 15:00 whereas dominant evening peak was seen in winter. The comparison between the actual and forecasted DLCs shows a minimal percentage errors with a values in the range of . |
KEYWORDS Daily load curve, Load profile, Load duration curve, Load forecast, NEPCO, Peak load, Energy |
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Cite this paper Mohammad Awad Momani. (2024) The Future Electricity Demand Profile in Jordan in the year 2030. International Journal of Power Systems, 9, 10-16 |
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