Food Security as an Element of Social and Economic Security in Bulgaria

AUTHOR(S):

Venelin Terziev, Teodora Petrova, Marin Georgiev

TITLE

Food Security as an Element of Social and Economic Security in Bulgaria

ABSTRACT

The use of unmanned aerial vehicles for monitoring agricultural crops, assisting in land reclamation, effective herd control, land inventory, controlling the parameters of agro-technological processes, spraying chemicals, guarding facilities, etc. is already a practice in a number of countries. Constant full monitoring of the conditions for carrying out agricultural processes, the dynamics of changes in the state of agricultural lands, and the characteristics of technological processes using technical means for real-time monitoring is the most important prerequisite for the implementation of highly productive and effective agricultural technologies. The expert method of hierarchical analysis can be used to substantiate groups of factors and the system of food security indicators. Based on the obtained system of indicators, the structure, relationships, and membership functions of fuzzy cognitive maps are formed. For parameterization of cognitive maps, the construction of infological and information models is used, providing justification for the structure of the relational database for the analyzed statistical indicators. We have constructed and tested a family of predictive econometric models based on private indicators for food product groups. Methods for integrating the obtained econometric models into a cognitive map have been developed based on membership functions and fuzzy logic. To support numerical studies and scenario analyses, the methodology of developed cognitive maps is used, a software complex is required. Such a software complex includes a computer program, a knowledge base for building membership functions for factors, and a statistical database for conducting research based on the use of an intelligent system for assessing and forecasting the integral level of food security.

KEYWORDS

Food Security, Cognitive Maps, Fuzzy Logic, Econometric Models, Agricultural Monitoring, Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs), Intelligent Systems

Cite this paper

Venelin Terziev, Teodora Petrova, Marin Georgiev. (2025) Food Security as an Element of Social and Economic Security in Bulgaria. International Journal of Agricultural Science, 10, 126-132