The Impact of Climate Change on the Modification of Bioclimatic Conditions in Bosnia and Herzegovina

Abstract: This paper presents the results of research into possible climate change in Bosnia and Herzegovina and its potential impact on bioclimatic conditions. Results of possible changes in surface air temperature and precipitation, obtained using the regional climate model EBU-POM, were used to assess changes on the Hydrothermal coefficient of Seljaninov (HTC) for the 2001–2030 and 2071–2100 periods, according to the A1B and A2 scenarios of IPCC. For this study, initial and lateral boundary conditions for the regional model were taken from the ECHAM5 global climate model. More serious changes can be expected during the period of 2071–2100.