Forecasts of Urban Construction Land Scale based on Driving Force Analysis

Abstract: On the basis of summing up the evaluation and prediction methods of construction land scale, this paper explored a new method for forecasting construction land in small towns. Taking Fuping County as an example, correlation analysis was used to determine the driven factors of land expansion such as economy, population, construction investment and so on, and entropy method was used to determine the impacting weight of each driving factor. At last, this paper analyzed mechanism and characteristics of urban expansion, to forecast the scale of construction land using regression analysis, which will provide basis for urban construction and policy making.